Relative Strength Index

[Leth]

Relative Strength Index

Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and detailed in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.

The Relative Strength Index compares upward movements in closing price to downward movements over a selected period. Wilder originally used a 14 day period, but 7 and 9 days are commonly used to trade the short cycle and 21 or 25 days for the intermediate cycle. Please note that Wilder does not use the standard moving average formula and the time period may need adjustment.

Relative Strength Index is smoother than the Momentum or Rate of Change oscillators and is not as susceptible to distortion from unusually high or low prices at the start of the window (detailed in Momentum Construction). It is also formulated to fluctuate between 0 and 100, enabling fixed Overbought and Oversold levels.

Trading Signals

Different signals are used in trending and ranging markets. The most important signals are taken from overbought and oversold levels, divergences and failure swings.

Use trailing buy- and sell-stops to time entry into trades.

Ranging Markets

-Set the Overbought level at 70 and Oversold at 30.

-Go long when RSI falls below the 30 level and rises back above it
or on a bullish divergence where the first trough is below 30.
-Go short when RSI rises above the 70 level and falls back below it
or on a bearish divergence where the first peak is above 70.
-Failure swings strengthen other signals.

Trending Markets

-Only take signals in the direction of the trend.

-Go long, in an up-trend, when RSI falls below 40 and rises back above it.
-Go short, in a down-trend, when RSI rises above 60 and falls back below it.
-Exit using a trend indicator.

Take profits on divergences. Unless confirmed by a trend indicator, Relative Strength Index divergences are not strong enough signals to trade in a trending market.

Example

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is plotted with a Lavender 21 day exponential moving average (MA) and Blue 9 day Relative Strength Index. A 2-day closing filter is used with the MA.

wmt%20rsi.png

-Price is trending downwards (staying below the moving average). Do not take long signals until the MA turns upward, otherwise we are trading against the trend.
-A bullish divergence on Relative Strength Index is reinforced by completion of a failure swing at [2]. Go long [L] when the MA slopes upwards and RSI crosses to above 40.
-RSI completes a minor failure swing at [3]. Take profits [P] and exit the remaining position [X] when there are two closes below the MA.
-Do not go short as price is trending upwards (staying above the moving average).
-Price has started to fluctuate around the moving average, signaling a ranging market. Go short [S] when RSI crosses from above to below 70.
-Go long [L] when RSI crosses from below to above 30.
-There has been a breakout from the trading range and price is trending upwards. Do not close the long position.
-Take profits [P] on the bearish divergence (Price has completed a higher peak while RSI has experienced a lower peak).
-Take profits [P]. A bearish triple divergence is confirmed by completion of a large failure swing at [8].
-Increase your long position [L]. RSI has crossed from below to above 40 during an up-trend.
-Exit your position [X] when there are two closes below the MA. Do not go short as the MA still slopes upwards.
-A small bearish divergence warns of a possible trend reversal.
-A bearish triple divergence is reinforced by completion of a failure swing at [11]. Wait until the MA has turned down and RSI has crossed to below 60 before entering a short trade [S].

Setup

The default RSI window is set at 14 days with Overbought/Oversold levels at 70% and 30%.